Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 115.646808 127.986151 140.687402 154.710737 169.731950 185.312230 202.666428
2024-10-27 94.786306 112.858598 132.425758 155.066975 180.422641 207.824927 239.557368
2024-11-03 82.142909 104.650965 130.165558 160.929787 196.712027 236.718923 284.522128
2024-11-10 71.138313 96.698170 126.950776 164.825074 210.383652 262.842823 327.211765
2024-11-17 62.607259 90.458808 124.768844 169.201973 224.253253 289.268457 370.852737
2024-11-24 56.035472 85.739187 123.707925 174.401805 238.867146 316.685845 416.217915
2024-12-01 46.411110 75.781673 114.903432 168.897580 239.489378 326.676688 440.404488
2024-12-08 39.536527 68.690127 109.053333 166.476111 243.437276 340.425883 469.114164
2024-12-15 34.988298 64.341604 106.420717 167.903334 252.090906 360.020103 505.290811
2024-12-22 31.400888 60.968181 104.766073 170.353600 261.924201 381.132132 543.631238
2024-12-29 29.323349 59.682931 105.933326 176.639015 276.955784 409.198012 591.327677
2025-01-05 26.994610 57.693667 105.821239 180.939647 289.230234 433.752069 634.795737
2025-01-12 23.526223 53.445616 102.034791 179.797383 294.046430 448.744268 666.470106
2025-01-19 20.591043 49.751899 98.796522 179.222623 299.549401 464.723571 699.751131
2025-01-26 19.240695 48.793441 99.860003 185.163046 314.532279 493.930910 751.260652
2025-02-02 17.666365 47.196649 99.710927 189.141160 326.685493 519.412386 798.130927
2025-02-09 16.365701 45.959121 100.032072 193.782264 339.840481 546.442653 847.447867
2025-02-16 15.336069 45.139244 100.983742 199.406078 354.541951 575.857739 900.439156
2025-02-23 12.750497 40.583578 94.929326 193.265455 351.157062 579.430563 917.686794
2025-03-02 10.942962 37.436107 91.124064 190.554339 352.789867 590.052982 944.739653
2025-03-09 9.840698 35.761019 89.915943 192.107892 360.996906 610.238916 985.414102
2025-03-16 8.970657 34.513067 89.412599 194.798918 370.994228 633.142357 1030.184329
2025-03-23 8.597505 34.494436 91.311285 201.722374 387.839625 666.342234 1089.983018